Coronavirus

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Kailuaboy
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Re: Coronavirus

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Kailuaboy
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Re: Coronavirus

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Kailuaboy
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Re: Coronavirus

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Re: Coronavirus

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by ubercow »

looks like our national "flattening the curve" chart is currently at our highest point ever.

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source

Hawaii had a bit of a spike last week, but that chilled out over the past couple days. The current Hawaii 'hotspots' being:
96819 (Moanalua, Fort Shafter, Kalihi Valley) with 60 new cases per 100K in the last 4 weeks
96797 (Waipahu) with 54 new cases per 100K in the last 4 weeks
96750 (Kealakekua, Captain Cook) with 57 new cases per 100K in the last 4 weeks
96786 (Wahiawa, Whitmore Village, Wheeler) with 38 new cases per 100K in the last 4 weeks

source

To put these (X per 100K) numbers in layman's terms, say you're zip code is at just '50'. In the last 4 weeks, you decided to go to parties each weekend and were in reasonably close contact with 200 different people in this zip without taking any precautions.

200 x 50 / 100K = 0.1 (10%) so there's a 1-in-10 chance someone you were in close contact with someone infected.


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Irse
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Re: Coronavirus

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I'll be surprised and very happy if we can keep it under 20/day for the next month. I would expect it to rise quite a bit once we open to tourists.
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Re: Coronavirus

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UnBiasFan wrote:
Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:47 am
SundayJam wrote:
Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:38 pm
UnBiasFan wrote:
Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:40 pm


I don’t think the temperature testing is very effective. I think there could be days in the life of this virus where no abnormal temperature is exhibited

The widespread mask use helps because it means some carriers are containing their virus
Yes, but the ritual temperature test is an awareness measure. I am made aware of my own body on a daily basis and that I should be careful about the things I come into contact with. I live in an Asian hub that has regular contact with Hong Kong, Singapore, and China. A sure sign of a Chinese tourist is Thai elephant pants. During the outbreak, I couldn't tell you how many times I saw Chinese tourists in 'elephant pants' : at the mall, at my home gym, and even on the bus! I do not have any symptoms and am grateful.
I think the virus went from Asia to Europe to mainland USA to Hawaii ...
I reflected upon this story with my buddy on Maui...and he said the same thing: He had never seen so many Chinese visitors in his life. I don't think this was something insidious...just ill-timed. As I look back on my experience, I still can't remember having ever encountered that many Chinese tourists at ANY time. Well, maybe I was hyper-alert due to the overt pandemic news.

I am still constantly tested for temperature every day. I agree that this is not an effective test...just a reminder.

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Re: Coronavirus

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Irse wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 5:50 am
UnBiasFan wrote:
Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:47 am
SundayJam wrote:
Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:38 pm


Yes, but the ritual temperature test is an awareness measure. I am made aware of my own body on a daily basis and that I should be careful about the things I come into contact with. I live in an Asian hub that has regular contact with Hong Kong, Singapore, and China. A sure sign of a Chinese tourist is Thai elephant pants. During the outbreak, I couldn't tell you how many times I saw Chinese tourists in 'elephant pants' : at the mall, at my home gym, and even on the bus! I do not have any symptoms and am grateful.
I think the virus went from Asia to Europe to mainland USA to Hawaii ...
That really helped us since our leaders seem clueless. It would be more devastating if it was the other way around.
Do you really think no Chinese tourists...or visitors from Asia...didn't bring the virus to America as well? Seriously?!!

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Re: Coronavirus

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SundayJam wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:24 am
Irse wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 5:50 am
UnBiasFan wrote:
Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:47 am


I think the virus went from Asia to Europe to mainland USA to Hawaii ...
That really helped us since our leaders seem clueless. It would be more devastating if it was the other way around.
Do you really think no Chinese tourists...or visitors from Asia...didn't bring the virus to America as well? Seriously?!!
So you think it came directly from Asia to Hawaii?
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Re: Coronavirus

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Irse wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 6:14 am
SundayJam wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:24 am
Irse wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 5:50 am


That really helped us since our leaders seem clueless. It would be more devastating if it was the other way around.
Do you really think no Chinese tourists...or visitors from Asia...didn't bring the virus to America as well? Seriously?!!
So you think it came directly from Asia to Hawaii?
It makes sense, doesn't it? We know now that it was a tenacious bug that didn't promote obvious symptoms right away. All the while, the bug was being spread. Back in the day, Japanese used to be the number 1 visitor to Hawaii. I can only guess that Koreans and Chinese have increased as well. I can't remember so many Europeans visiting Hawaii. Americans...making a second trip to Hawaii after vacationing in Europe...I doubt it.

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Irse
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Re: Coronavirus

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SundayJam wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 11:13 pm
Irse wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 6:14 am
SundayJam wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:24 am


Do you really think no Chinese tourists...or visitors from Asia...didn't bring the virus to America as well? Seriously?!!
So you think it came directly from Asia to Hawaii?
It makes sense, doesn't it? We know now that it was a tenacious bug that didn't promote obvious symptoms right away. All the while, the bug was being spread. Back in the day, Japanese used to be the number 1 visitor to Hawaii. I can only guess that Koreans and Chinese have increased as well. I can't remember so many Europeans visiting Hawaii. Americans...making a second trip to Hawaii after vacationing in Europe...I doubt it.
I would think that if it came directly from Asia, we would have seen it much earlier and much more severe than the east coast. Americans could have gotten if from friends or family that went to Europe or from Europeans that came to America for a vacation then the Americans came to visit Hawaii.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by ubercow »

china was blocked from entering the US at the end of january

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