Boys: Slightly ILH, underclassman heavy (1 senior!)
1) Margarito Martinez- Very dominant this year including competition against ILH. Beat Murphy in the first meet. Win by 5-10 seconds
2) Pierce Murphy- He will keep up with Martinez. The Murphy who was beaten by Martinez by 30 seconds is gone. Just came off the Mt. SAC invite, running 16:15 on a very tough course against good competition.
3) Jordan Thibodeau- I agree with D3, he is a very good runner and I think he can keep up with this front pack. No more than 10 seconds behind 2nd place. If the other two go out too fast and he holds himself back, potential winner.
4) Troy Esaki- Most consistent Iolani runner, even though he was beaten by Pleskacz the last 2 meets.
5) Nikolai Schaerer- I just got a feeling he could do well here. Kind of an underdog guess.
6) Isaiah Sato- Hopefully, last year's state meet performance won't haunt him
7) Borys Pleskacz-Strong runner, hopefully he doesn't go out too fast like he has done before.
Rocky Balala- That 3rd place finish at MIL's was a fluke because he missed the turn. Now that he won't be leading, he will not miss any turns.9) Chris Mosch- I don't know how he will do against any of these runners since he hasn't had the chance to run against any of them.
10) Nicola Perez Garreaud- While I think other runners are better, he may finish here. Another underdog guess.
10-20: Dan Kaneko, Ian Terayama, Jordan Kahawai, Justin Higa, Daniel Brooks, Eric Pak, Ryan Hobson, Zach Carvalho, Colin Honeker, Dylan Hardie-Jordan
10-20 will probably be very different when the state meet is actually run.
Team champ: Kamehameha (40-60 pts), 2nd Punahou (90-110, an underdog guess), 3rd Iolani (behind Punahou by 2 or 3)
Girls:
1) Hailey Grossman-Winner all year, tore up Oahu competition when she ran against the best of the OIA and ILH (by 10+ seconds)
2) Ellie Brady- Dominant at ILH champs, time for her to show her soccer conditioning at the flattest course she will run at.
3) Gabriella Jenkins-Also dominant at her conference champs, but I feel Brady will beat her by a hair.
4) Kristin Ali Keith- She wants her crown back. Will she get it? I think she will be close, but fall short.
5) Tia Greenwell- I will get some heat from putting her this low. I feel she hasn't been strong enough, but unlike Keith, has one more season.
6) Kyleigh Mann- Good track runner. Also has been strong all year.
7) Claire Hann- A senior runner who has not always been consistent but has stepped it up the last few weeks. Right behind Mann.
Julia Brand- Also a good track runner, just not an event typical of everyone else (300H state champ). Her raw foot speed could really help her on a fast course like this.9) Kimberly Pugliese- Nice 3rd place finish at OIA champs. If she repeats her performance, she should be around here.
10) Jenna Wong- I think her 10th place at ILH was a fluke. I think she is better. Also an underdog guess.
10-20: Develynn White, Sophie Curatilo, Kelli Morissey, Shannon Whener, Kela Vargas, Amanda Ishikawa, Noelani Mikami, Tia Nakashima, Zoe Simms, Jessica Johnson
Also, a lot of underdogs moving up etc.
Team Champ: Punahou (50-70) 2nd Mililani (5-10 pts back), 3rd Kamehameha (110-130)
