Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Last Week: 12 of 18 (.667)
Overall: 21 of 31 (.677)
- GAME OF THE WEEK
#5 Farrington over #8 Iolani - Powerscore difference of -037.74
This game will definitely be closer than what we are used to when Iolani plays Division I teams. Both Farrington and Iolani field powerful defenses. It'll be Farrington's depth on the offensive side of the ball that will win them this game. Iolani will not be able to outlast the Governors against the sheer number of weapons they have.
#6 Kamehameha-Kapalama over Hilo - Powerscore difference of -045.77
The Warriors have the Vikings outclassed in every single category here and I expect the Warriors to win this bout. This game is an interesting gauge for Kapalama's future performance against Punahou.
Castle over Waianae - Powerscore difference of -000.07
No two teams could be more alike at this point in the season than Castle and Waianae. Both are looking to continue their momentum from stunning wins last week (Waianae beat Moanalua in overtime while Castle stunned Campbell late). Castle's defense will need to outlast the balanced attack by Waianae all the while finishing drives of their own. If they can stay healthy and play all 4 quarters, they can pull out the win at home.
#4 Kahuku over Kaiser - Powerscore difference of -309.85
If Kaiser were 2-0 instead of 0-2, it'd be a safe bet that the Cougars could pull the upset two years in a row. Unfortunately, the opposite end of their running, scoring machine is hemorrhaging points and you can expect Kahuku's stable of backs to take full advantage of Kaiser's weak defense.
Waipahu over McKinley - Powerscore difference of -000.07
While both offenses are extremely anemic and on paper McKinley's defense is stronger, one cannot ignore how efficiently the Tiger Defense allowed Mililani to score in last week's 73-14 thumping. The situation becomes dire when this could be the only win for either team this season (as it was last year) and both the Marauders and the Tigers could be fighting for a wild card berth this week.
#7 Moanalua over Aiea - Powerscore difference of -039.55
Both offenses are playing extremely well this season and it'll be up to the defenses to win this week. I expect both teams to score in bunches. I do not expect Aiea's defense to stop Moanalua's rushing assault and Na Menehune will come up with the win on the ground.
#2 Mililani over Campbell - Powerscore difference of -051.95
The Trojans will have to take care of business on the ground more so than they'd like but they'll come out on top at home this week against the visiting Campbell Sabers. The game will be close but I see the Sabers slipping to 0-3.
#9 Kailua over #10 Kapolei - Powerscore difference of -005.85
Each teams' weakness will play to the other's strength. And that'll be the story this week when Dream Team Kailua beats Kapolei in a very close game. Kailua will need to shore up its secondary and put pressure on Kapolei's quarterbacks if they want to stop the new Hurricane offense.
Kalani over Kalaheo - Powerscore difference of -000.50
Kalani has had very close losses so far and Kalaheo's lack of a run game will give the Falcons their first win of the season.
#5* Pearl City over Waialua - Powerscore difference of -001.87
Contrary to passed years, Pearl City is relying on its defense and rushing offense to win games this season. Both of these teams love to run the football but it'll be the Charger defenses making enough stops at home to give the Bulldogs their first loss.
Radford over Roosevelt - Powerscore difference not available
We haven't seen much of Radford play. Although Roosevelt looks vastly improved from previous seasons, history serves as a reminder that Radford is still very much a contender. Rams improve 2-0.
#1* Lahainaluna over KS-Maui - Powerscore difference of -055.75
Lahaina's annual thrashing of its Maui schedule begins this week against KS-Maui.
#6* Damien over Hawaii Prep - Powerscore difference not available
Hawaii Prep opens their season against a resurgent Damien squad hell-bent on making it to states. It'll be close but Damien is too experienced at this point in the season to lose to the Ka Makani.
#10* St. Francis over Honokaa - Powerscore difference of -156.44
The Saints offense must rise to the occasion this week against Honokaa if the Saints are to leave Ching Field with a win. If the Saints defense keeps Honokaa out of the end zone, St. Francis could improve to 2-1.
#4* Konawaena over #9* Kauai - Powerscore difference of -017.45
Kauai's offensive hasn't produced anything on the ground nor has the defense been able to dig in the trenches. Expect Kona to take full advantage and rise to 2-0.
- UPSET ALERT
Waimea over #7 Pac-Five - Powerscore difference if -041.07
In their only game this season (vs. Kalani), Pac-Five was forced to launch the fireworks when production on the ground couldn't jump start. Despite winning at the last minute, the Wolf Pack defense laid out the red carpet for Kalani's rushers. Waimea, on the other hand, has won on the shoulders of an efficient offense and a stubborn defense. Expect Waimea to KIF play 3-0 overall.
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Idk how you have Saint Louis not winning the chip. Please explain to me I'm so curious
Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Wow!!! Kamehameha-Maui pulls a big shocker, beat Lunas 11-7 at season opener at new Lahaina stadium.
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Yeah. I saw this and was shocked too. It's an awesome win for KS-Maui!MauiSun wrote:Wow!!! Kamehameha-Maui pulls a big shocker, beat Lunas 11-7 at season opener at new Lahaina stadium.
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
More shockers this week. Looks like the football landscape has changed this year. Mililani plummets due to relatively weak schedule compared to other top ranked teams as well as performance against common opponents. Trojans are still ranked among the undefeated, however. As early season blowouts become less and less of a factor, top teams need to continue to perform if they want to stay on top in the rankings. The top teams in both divisions are slowly pulling away from the rest in the power scores.
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 112.14 Punahou: (0-0/2-0): DNP. California Del Oro next.
↑2. 211.31 Kahuku (2-0/3-0): Avenged last years loss against Kaiser. McKinley next.
↑3. 080.34 Farrington (1-0/2-0): Govs show off their weaponry once again vs. Iolani. #7 Moanalua next.
↑4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (0-0/3-0): Second straight shutout vs. Hilo. Bye next.
↓5. 045.83 St. Louis (0-0/1-0): Dominates American Samoa Fagaitua. Nevada Liberty next.
↓6. 039.17 Mililani (2-0/2-0): Ranking plummets despite another win against Campbell. Kapolei next.
-7. 033.71 Moanalua (1-1/2-1): Ran over Aiea. #3 Farrington next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (0-0/2-1): Outmanned by Farrington. Bye next.
-9. 017.66 Kailua (2-0/3-0): Kailua's dream season continues. Aiea next.
↑10. 007.93 Waianae (2-0/2-1): Returns to the Top 10 after a win vs. Castle. Leilehua next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 005.04 Kapolei (0-2/1-2): Lost second straight vs. Kailua. #6 Mililani next.
↓12. 003.27 Aiea (1-1/1-2): Couldn't stop Na Menehune's rushing attack. #9 Kailua next.
↓13. 002.71 Castle (1-1/1-2): Outmatched by Waianae. Waipahu next.
-14. 000.61 Kaiser (0-2/0-3): Shutdown by Kahuku. Bye next.
-15. 000.21 Leilehua (0-1/0-2): DNP. #10 Waianae next.
↑16. 010.50 Kealakehe (0-0/1-2): Could not comeback to beat Manitoba Vincent Massey. KS-Hawaii next.
↑17. 005.59 Waipahu (1-1/1-1): Upended McKinley. Castle next.
-18. 003.15 Maui (1-0/1-1): Beat Division 2 King Kekaulike. Bye next.
↑19. 000.36 Waiakea (0-0/0-3): Konawaena next.
↓20. 000.30 Campbell (0-2/0-3): The Sabers continue to slide. Bye next.
- EMERGING
↑21. 000.03 Baldwin (0-0/0-2): Outmatched by California Mission Viejo.
↓22. 00.000 Hilo (0-0/0-2): Hilo has yet to score after 2 games. Hawaii Prep next.
-23. 000.09 Keaau (0-0/0-1): DNP. Honokaa next.
-24. 000.08 McKinley (0-2/0-3): Smashed by Waipahu. #2 Kahuku next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
↑1. 046.76 KS-Hawaii (0-0/3-0): Continues to dominate competition. Kealakehe next.
↓2. 029.35 Lahainaluna (0-1/1-2): Upset at home by KS-Maui. Baldwin next.
-3. 033.50 Kapaa (0-0/2-0): DNP. Kauai next.
-4. 018.62 Konawaena (0-0/2-0): Beat Kauai. Waiakea next.
↑5. 010.28 Damien (0-0/3-0): Trampled Hawaii Prep. Bye next.
↑6. 007.19 Pac-Five (0-0/2-0): Wins a second close game. Bye next.
↓7. 007.09 Pearl City (1-1/1-1): Shocked by Waialua. Anuenue next.
-8. 002.26 Nanakuli (1-0/1-1): DNP. Kaimuki next.
↑9. 258.00 Radford (2-0/2-0): Blanked Roosevelt. Kalani next.
↑10. 098.72 Roosevelt (0-2/1-2): Enters Top 10 due to residual effects from win vs. McKinley despite blanking by Radford. Waialua next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 90.32 St. Francis (0-0/2-1): Thumped Honokaa. California Murrieta Mesa next.
-12. 024.38 Waimea (0-0/2-0): #6 Pac-Five next.
↑13. 09.59 Waialua (2-0/3-0): Stunned Pearl City. Roosevelt next.
↑14. 003.80 Kalani (1-1/1-2): Secured a much needed win against Kalaheo. Radford next.
↓15. 001.51 KS-Maui (1-0/1-1): Laid the shock on host Lahainaluna. King Kekaulike next.
↓16. 000.47 Kauai (0-0/0-2): Lost at home to Konawaena. Kapaa next.
↑17. 000.35 Honoka'a (0-0/0-1): Lost second straight vs. St. Francis. Keaau next.
↓18. 000.34 Hawaii Prep (0-0/0-1): Grilled by Damien. Hilo next.
↑19. 000.34 Kalaheo (0-2/0-3): Remains winless this week. Anuenue next.
↓20. 000.08 King Kekaulike (0-1/0-2): KS-Maui next.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.00 Kaimuki (1-0/1-1): DNP. Nanakuli next.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-2/0-3): DNP. Kalaheo next.
OIA Red Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+1 Kahuku (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+1 Waianae (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Castle (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Waipahu (50% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Leilehua (68% chance at making play-offs)
-1 McKinley (50% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Kaiser (77% chance at making play-offs)
OIA Blue Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+1 Mililani (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+1 Kailua (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Farrington (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Moanalua (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Aiea (30% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Kapolei (96% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Campbell (50% chance at making play-offs)
OIA White Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 2
+0 Waialua (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Radford (1% chance at being eliminated)
-1 Nanakuli (6% chance at being eliminated)
-1 Kaimuki (75% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Kalani (99% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Pearl City (99% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Roosevelt (78.8% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Kalaheo (35.5% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Anuenue (25% chance at making play-offs)
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 112.14 Punahou: (0-0/2-0): DNP. California Del Oro next.
↑2. 211.31 Kahuku (2-0/3-0): Avenged last years loss against Kaiser. McKinley next.
↑3. 080.34 Farrington (1-0/2-0): Govs show off their weaponry once again vs. Iolani. #7 Moanalua next.
↑4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (0-0/3-0): Second straight shutout vs. Hilo. Bye next.
↓5. 045.83 St. Louis (0-0/1-0): Dominates American Samoa Fagaitua. Nevada Liberty next.
↓6. 039.17 Mililani (2-0/2-0): Ranking plummets despite another win against Campbell. Kapolei next.
-7. 033.71 Moanalua (1-1/2-1): Ran over Aiea. #3 Farrington next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (0-0/2-1): Outmanned by Farrington. Bye next.
-9. 017.66 Kailua (2-0/3-0): Kailua's dream season continues. Aiea next.
↑10. 007.93 Waianae (2-0/2-1): Returns to the Top 10 after a win vs. Castle. Leilehua next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 005.04 Kapolei (0-2/1-2): Lost second straight vs. Kailua. #6 Mililani next.
↓12. 003.27 Aiea (1-1/1-2): Couldn't stop Na Menehune's rushing attack. #9 Kailua next.
↓13. 002.71 Castle (1-1/1-2): Outmatched by Waianae. Waipahu next.
-14. 000.61 Kaiser (0-2/0-3): Shutdown by Kahuku. Bye next.
-15. 000.21 Leilehua (0-1/0-2): DNP. #10 Waianae next.
↑16. 010.50 Kealakehe (0-0/1-2): Could not comeback to beat Manitoba Vincent Massey. KS-Hawaii next.
↑17. 005.59 Waipahu (1-1/1-1): Upended McKinley. Castle next.
-18. 003.15 Maui (1-0/1-1): Beat Division 2 King Kekaulike. Bye next.
↑19. 000.36 Waiakea (0-0/0-3): Konawaena next.
↓20. 000.30 Campbell (0-2/0-3): The Sabers continue to slide. Bye next.
- EMERGING
↑21. 000.03 Baldwin (0-0/0-2): Outmatched by California Mission Viejo.
↓22. 00.000 Hilo (0-0/0-2): Hilo has yet to score after 2 games. Hawaii Prep next.
-23. 000.09 Keaau (0-0/0-1): DNP. Honokaa next.
-24. 000.08 McKinley (0-2/0-3): Smashed by Waipahu. #2 Kahuku next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
↑1. 046.76 KS-Hawaii (0-0/3-0): Continues to dominate competition. Kealakehe next.
↓2. 029.35 Lahainaluna (0-1/1-2): Upset at home by KS-Maui. Baldwin next.
-3. 033.50 Kapaa (0-0/2-0): DNP. Kauai next.
-4. 018.62 Konawaena (0-0/2-0): Beat Kauai. Waiakea next.
↑5. 010.28 Damien (0-0/3-0): Trampled Hawaii Prep. Bye next.
↑6. 007.19 Pac-Five (0-0/2-0): Wins a second close game. Bye next.
↓7. 007.09 Pearl City (1-1/1-1): Shocked by Waialua. Anuenue next.
-8. 002.26 Nanakuli (1-0/1-1): DNP. Kaimuki next.
↑9. 258.00 Radford (2-0/2-0): Blanked Roosevelt. Kalani next.
↑10. 098.72 Roosevelt (0-2/1-2): Enters Top 10 due to residual effects from win vs. McKinley despite blanking by Radford. Waialua next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 90.32 St. Francis (0-0/2-1): Thumped Honokaa. California Murrieta Mesa next.
-12. 024.38 Waimea (0-0/2-0): #6 Pac-Five next.
↑13. 09.59 Waialua (2-0/3-0): Stunned Pearl City. Roosevelt next.
↑14. 003.80 Kalani (1-1/1-2): Secured a much needed win against Kalaheo. Radford next.
↓15. 001.51 KS-Maui (1-0/1-1): Laid the shock on host Lahainaluna. King Kekaulike next.
↓16. 000.47 Kauai (0-0/0-2): Lost at home to Konawaena. Kapaa next.
↑17. 000.35 Honoka'a (0-0/0-1): Lost second straight vs. St. Francis. Keaau next.
↓18. 000.34 Hawaii Prep (0-0/0-1): Grilled by Damien. Hilo next.
↑19. 000.34 Kalaheo (0-2/0-3): Remains winless this week. Anuenue next.
↓20. 000.08 King Kekaulike (0-1/0-2): KS-Maui next.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.00 Kaimuki (1-0/1-1): DNP. Nanakuli next.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-2/0-3): DNP. Kalaheo next.
OIA Red Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+1 Kahuku (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+1 Waianae (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Castle (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Waipahu (50% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Leilehua (68% chance at making play-offs)
-1 McKinley (50% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Kaiser (77% chance at making play-offs)
OIA Blue Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+1 Mililani (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+1 Kailua (0.5% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Farrington (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Moanalua (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Aiea (30% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Kapolei (96% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Campbell (50% chance at making play-offs)
OIA White Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 2
+0 Waialua (1% chance at being eliminated)
+0 Radford (1% chance at being eliminated)
-1 Nanakuli (6% chance at being eliminated)
-1 Kaimuki (75% chance at being eliminated)
--------------------------------
-1 Kalani (99% chance at making play-offs)
-1 Pearl City (99% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Roosevelt (78.8% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Kalaheo (35.5% chance at making play-offs)
-2 Anuenue (25% chance at making play-offs)
Last edited by politclyincrekt on Tue Aug 25, 2015 6:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Last Week: 13 of 16 (.813)
Overall: 34 of 47 (.723)
- GAME OF THE WEEK
#3 Farrington over #7 Moanalua - 58.0%
Farrington's defense is simply too good for Moanalua to run through. The Govs will pick-up the win in this week's Game of the Week. Farrington improves to 3-0. Moanalua evens out to 2-2.
#10 Waianae over Leilehua - 97.4%
Waianae is gaining some serious momentum headed into the OIA season. Leilehua's uptempo offense is non-existant this year. Expect Waianae to control the game from the start. Waianae remains undefeated in the OIA at 3-0 (3-1 overall). Leilehua drops to 0-3.
#2 Kahuku over McKinley - 99%
The Red Raiders are going to run it down McKinley's throat. Plain and simple. If McKinley were to forfeit a game this season, this would be it. Kahuku remains undefeated at 4-0. McKinley's long season continues at 0-4.
Castle over Waipahu - No percentage
Waipahu's statistics received a buff last week against McKinley. Castle is too good and too scrappy to lose to Waipahu. Castle recovers 2-2. Waipahu drops to 1-2.
#9 Kailua over Aiea - 81.5%
The Surfriders keep the dream alive this week as their defense comes up big against Aiea. Surfriders remains undefeated at 4-0; most wins since 2011. Aiea slips to 1-3.
#6 Mililani over Kapolei - 87.1%
Mililani's run game will tear Kapolei's defense to shreds this week. The Hurricane's will be feeling the effects of their bout with Kailua and the Trojan's will take advantage of Kapolei's short week to remain undefeated 3-0. Hurricanes slide to 1-3.
Honokaa over Keaau - 74.3%
I expect a sizeable boost to Honokaa's powerscore after their win against Division I Keaau. Honokaa gets on the board 1-2. Keaau continues winless 0-2.
#1* KS-Hawaii over Kealakehe - 77.5%
KS-Hawaii's defense with Kealakehe's lack of offense will give the Warriors an undefeated 4-0 record. I wouldn't be surprised if the Waveriders are blanked by Division II Kamehameha as they end the week 1-3.
#4* Konawaena over Waiakea - 98.0%
The Wildcats are too balanced and too good, especially on defense, to let Waiakea off the hook. Konawaena stays undefeated 3-0. Waiakea falls to 0-4.
KS-Maui over King Kekaulike - 94.7%
After stunning Lahainaluna, KS-Maui will capitalize on its momentum to beat King Kekaulike. KS-Maui will remain undefeated in MIL play at 2-0 (2-1 overall). King Kekaulike continues to fall 0-3.
Hilo over Hawaii Prep - No percentage.
The Ka Makani didn't complete a single pass during their bout with Damien. And Hilo has yet to score a single point. That being said, the learning curve for Ka Makani's key positions is too great at this point in the season. Hilo will be the only Division 1 BIIF team to win their game this week, improving to 1-2. Hawaii Prep falls to 0-2.
- UPSET ALERT
Baldwin over #2* Lahainaluna - No percentage.
Don't let the stats fool you. Baldwin's schedule has been unforgiving so far and the Bears are ready to upend Maui rival Lahaina. Baldwin opens MIL play at 1-2. Young Lahainaluna will drop to 1-3 before they learn to run.
Waialua over #10* Roosevelt - No percentage.
Make no mistake: Roosevelt's win over McKinley will carry the Rough Riders through the rankings to a certain point. Waialua will remain undefeated this week at 4-0. Roosevelt will continue to fall 1-3.
#9* Radford over Kalani - 98.5%
The race for play-offs has already begun and Radford will look to increase its lead against Kalani this week. The Falcons, on the other hand, are fighting to get back into the play-off picture. Radford improves 3-0. Falcons fall to 1-3.
Kalaheo over Anuenue - No percentage.
Whether by forfeit or otherwise, Kalaheo should get on the board at 1-3 this week while Na Koa drops to 0-4.
#8* Nanakuli over Kaimuki - No percentage.
The Golden Hawks are on a mission and racing for play-offs. Kaimuki is simply outmatched this week. Nanakuli improves 2-1. Kaimuki drops to 1-2.
OIA Red Prediction
3-0 Kahuku
3-0 Waianae
2-1 Castle
1-2 Waipahu
0-2 Leilehua
0-2 Kaiser
----- PLAY OFF -----
0-3 McKinley
OIA Blue Prediction
3-0 Mililani
3-0 Kailua
2-0 Farrington
1-2 Moanalua
1-2 Aiea
0-2 Campbell
----- PLAY OFF -----
0-3 Kapolei
OIA White Prediction
3-0 Waialua
3-0 Radford
2-0 Nanakuli
1-1 Pearl City
----- PLAY OFF -----
1-1 Kaimuki
1-2 Kalani
1-2 Kalaheo
0-3 Roosevelt
0-3 Anuenue
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
I had some extra time today so here are some fun "What If?" scenarios I ran with the rankings and otherwise:
What would McKinley have to do this week if they want to jump to the Top 10?
McKinley is currently ranked last among all Division I teams with a powerscore of 0.08. The Tigers go up against Kahuku (who has the highest powerscore at 211.31. What would McKinley have to do this week if they wanted to enter the Top 10 (barring rules on advancing on DNPs)?
For McKinley to enter the Top 10, the Tiger's would need to raise their power score to at least 7.94 (+0.01 from Waianae's 7.93). To do this, McKinley will have to blank Kahuku 176-0. This season, Kahuku's defense forces teams to travel about 32 yards per point. At this rate, McKinley will need to amass 5,632 yards against Kahuku (3,600 of which would come off the arm of McKinley's quarterback Elyjah-Dane Badua). In realistic terms, using averages for McKinley since they reentered the Division I in 2012, the Tigers will need approximately 11 games (or another season entirely) to score the amount of points needed to enter my Top 10 this week.
There is a lot of season left and it isn't mathematically impossible for the Tigers to enter the Top 10 sometime this season, but the way they have been playing and the opponents left I don't see it happening realistically.
What would it take for Kahuku to drop to last place?
Due to the nature of the rankings, it is impossible for Kahuku to drop too far week in and out. But what would have to happen for Kahuku to drop behind McKinley? The wheels would need to fall off the Red Raider program entirely. The quickest way for Kahuku to drop below McKinley would be to score no points for 9-weeks in a row. Only then will Kahuku drop below McKinley's 0.08 powerscore.
What Would Kailua's Dream Season Look Like This Season?
Kailua is fully capable of going 5-2 headed into the OIA play-offs. They'd finish as the Blue Seed 3 and play against Red 6 (most likely Waipahu) at home. This is a game that Kailua would win. Kailua would then advance to visit the Red 2 (Waianae). After a hard fought battle and a lot of luck, Kailua would enter the semi-finals against Mililani and lose. The third place game would be Farrington vs. Kailua (while Mililani and Kahuku lock horns in the final). Provided Kailua wins the third place game, Kailua would advance in the state tournament to visit either Baldwin, Maui, or Hilo (depending on seeding). After winning their first game, Kailua's season would come to an end in the semi-finals against either the OIA Champion or ILH Champion.
What would McKinley have to do this week if they want to jump to the Top 10?
McKinley is currently ranked last among all Division I teams with a powerscore of 0.08. The Tigers go up against Kahuku (who has the highest powerscore at 211.31. What would McKinley have to do this week if they wanted to enter the Top 10 (barring rules on advancing on DNPs)?
For McKinley to enter the Top 10, the Tiger's would need to raise their power score to at least 7.94 (+0.01 from Waianae's 7.93). To do this, McKinley will have to blank Kahuku 176-0. This season, Kahuku's defense forces teams to travel about 32 yards per point. At this rate, McKinley will need to amass 5,632 yards against Kahuku (3,600 of which would come off the arm of McKinley's quarterback Elyjah-Dane Badua). In realistic terms, using averages for McKinley since they reentered the Division I in 2012, the Tigers will need approximately 11 games (or another season entirely) to score the amount of points needed to enter my Top 10 this week.
There is a lot of season left and it isn't mathematically impossible for the Tigers to enter the Top 10 sometime this season, but the way they have been playing and the opponents left I don't see it happening realistically.
What would it take for Kahuku to drop to last place?
Due to the nature of the rankings, it is impossible for Kahuku to drop too far week in and out. But what would have to happen for Kahuku to drop behind McKinley? The wheels would need to fall off the Red Raider program entirely. The quickest way for Kahuku to drop below McKinley would be to score no points for 9-weeks in a row. Only then will Kahuku drop below McKinley's 0.08 powerscore.
What Would Kailua's Dream Season Look Like This Season?
Kailua is fully capable of going 5-2 headed into the OIA play-offs. They'd finish as the Blue Seed 3 and play against Red 6 (most likely Waipahu) at home. This is a game that Kailua would win. Kailua would then advance to visit the Red 2 (Waianae). After a hard fought battle and a lot of luck, Kailua would enter the semi-finals against Mililani and lose. The third place game would be Farrington vs. Kailua (while Mililani and Kahuku lock horns in the final). Provided Kailua wins the third place game, Kailua would advance in the state tournament to visit either Baldwin, Maui, or Hilo (depending on seeding). After winning their first game, Kailua's season would come to an end in the semi-finals against either the OIA Champion or ILH Champion.
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Way too much time on your hands. Lol.politclyincrekt wrote:I had some extra time today so here are some fun "What If?"
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
A bit of a boring week. Some teams move closer to the Top 10. Not much movement otherwise.
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 112.14 Punahou: (2-0): DNP. California Del Oro next.
-2. 245.66 Kahuku (4-0): Killed McKinley. Bye next.
-3. 057.36 Farrington (3-0): Overpower Moanalua in a shootout. Aiea next.
-4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (0-0/3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-5. 045.19 St. Louis (2-0): Defeated Nevada Liberty in dominating fashion. Bye next.
-6. 038.11 Mililani (3-0): Couldn't be stopped by Kapolei this week. Nevada Liberty next.
-7. 018.12 Moanalua (2-2): Farrington too much for Na Menehune. Kapolei next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (2-1): DNP. Bye next.
-9. 017.66 Kailua (4-0): Kailua is running on all cylinders. Campbell next.
-10. 010.44 Waianae (3-1): Runs away with it vs. Leilehua. McKinley next.
- MID-CARD
↑12. 006.11 Castle (2-2): Another shootout for Castle, and another win. Leilehua next.
↓12. 003.03 Kapolei (1-3): Defense couldn't stop Mililani. #7 Kapolei.
↓13. 002.45 Aiea (1-3): Kailua too much for Na Alii. #3 Farrington next.
-14. 000.61 Kaiser (0-3): DNP. Waipahu next.
↑15. 008.99 Kealakehe (2-2): Came back to beat a cocky KS-Hawaii. Honokaa next.
↑16. 005.59 Waipahu (1-2): Lost in a duel with Castle. Kaiser next.
↓17. 000.49 Leilehua (0-3): Wheels fell off against Waianae. Castle next.
-18. 003.15 Maui (1-1): DNP. Lahainaluna next.
-19. 000.47 Waiakea (0-4): Dismantled by Konawaena. KS-Hawaii next.
-20. 000.30 Campbell (0-3): DNP. #9 Kailua next.
- EMERGING
-21. 001.17 Baldwin (1-2): Beat crosstown rival Lahainaluna. KS-Maui next.
-22. 000.71 Hilo (1-2): Finally on the board this season with a win against Hawaii Prep. Konawaena next.
-23. 000.17 Keaau (0-2): Lost a close one to Honokaa. Hawaii Prep next.
-24. 000.07 McKinley (0-4): Absolutely dismantled by Kahuku. #10 Waianae next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
↑1. 034.88 Kapaa (3-0): Blew up Kauai. Bye next.
↑2. 027.16 Konawaena (3-0): Handily defeated Waiakea. Hilo next.
↓3. 024.86 KS-Hawaii (3-1): Stopped by Kealakehe. Waiakea next.
↓4. 015.42 Lahainaluna (1-3): Lost third game in a row, second straight at home, this time against Baldwin. Maui next.
-5. 010.28 Damien (3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-6. 007.19 Pac-Five (2-0): DNP. Bye next.
-7. 007.09 Pearl City (1-1): DNP. Anuenue next.
↑8. 178.05 Radford (3-0): Rams were unstoppable against Kalani. Kaimuki next.
↑9. 052.79 Roosevelt (2-2): Ruins Waialua's perfect season in double overtime. Kalani next.
↑10. 046.24 St. Francis (2-2): Tough loss to California Murrieta Mesa. Bye next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 006.48 Nanakuli (2-1): Beat Kaimuki. Waialua next.
-12. 024.38 Waimea (2-1): DNP. Kauai next.
-13. 05.52 Waialua (3-1): Lost to Roosevelt in shocking double overtime. Nanakuli next.
↑14. 003.03 Honoka'a (1-1): Ran away from Keaau. Kealakehe next.
-15. 002.72 KS-Maui (2-1): Beat King Kekaulike. Baldwin next.
↓16. 002.71 Kalani (1-3): Shutdown by Radford. #9 Roosevelt next.
↓17. 000.56 Kauai (0-3): Dismantled by Kapaa. Waimea next.
-18. 000.33 Hawaii Prep (0-2): Outgunned by Hilo. Keaau next.
-19. 000.34 Kalaheo (1-3): DNP.
-20. 000.14 King Kekaulike (0-3): Lost to KS-Maui. Bye next.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.11 Kaimuki (1-2): Lost big to Nanakuli.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-4): DNP.
OIA Red Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+2 Kahuku
+2 Waianae
+1 Castle
+0 Waipahu
--------------------------------
-1 Leilehua
-1 McKinley
-1 Kaiser
OIA Blue Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+2 Mililani
+2 Kailua
+1 Farrington
+0 Moanalua
+0 Aiea
--------------------------------
-1 Kapolei
-1 Campbell
OIA White Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 2
+1 Radford
+0 Nanakuli
+0 Waialua
-1 Pearl City
--------------------------------
-1 Kaimuki
-1 Roosevelt
-1 Kalaheo
-1 Kalani
-2 Anuenue
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 112.14 Punahou: (2-0): DNP. California Del Oro next.
-2. 245.66 Kahuku (4-0): Killed McKinley. Bye next.
-3. 057.36 Farrington (3-0): Overpower Moanalua in a shootout. Aiea next.
-4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (0-0/3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-5. 045.19 St. Louis (2-0): Defeated Nevada Liberty in dominating fashion. Bye next.
-6. 038.11 Mililani (3-0): Couldn't be stopped by Kapolei this week. Nevada Liberty next.
-7. 018.12 Moanalua (2-2): Farrington too much for Na Menehune. Kapolei next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (2-1): DNP. Bye next.
-9. 017.66 Kailua (4-0): Kailua is running on all cylinders. Campbell next.
-10. 010.44 Waianae (3-1): Runs away with it vs. Leilehua. McKinley next.
- MID-CARD
↑12. 006.11 Castle (2-2): Another shootout for Castle, and another win. Leilehua next.
↓12. 003.03 Kapolei (1-3): Defense couldn't stop Mililani. #7 Kapolei.
↓13. 002.45 Aiea (1-3): Kailua too much for Na Alii. #3 Farrington next.
-14. 000.61 Kaiser (0-3): DNP. Waipahu next.
↑15. 008.99 Kealakehe (2-2): Came back to beat a cocky KS-Hawaii. Honokaa next.
↑16. 005.59 Waipahu (1-2): Lost in a duel with Castle. Kaiser next.
↓17. 000.49 Leilehua (0-3): Wheels fell off against Waianae. Castle next.
-18. 003.15 Maui (1-1): DNP. Lahainaluna next.
-19. 000.47 Waiakea (0-4): Dismantled by Konawaena. KS-Hawaii next.
-20. 000.30 Campbell (0-3): DNP. #9 Kailua next.
- EMERGING
-21. 001.17 Baldwin (1-2): Beat crosstown rival Lahainaluna. KS-Maui next.
-22. 000.71 Hilo (1-2): Finally on the board this season with a win against Hawaii Prep. Konawaena next.
-23. 000.17 Keaau (0-2): Lost a close one to Honokaa. Hawaii Prep next.
-24. 000.07 McKinley (0-4): Absolutely dismantled by Kahuku. #10 Waianae next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
↑1. 034.88 Kapaa (3-0): Blew up Kauai. Bye next.
↑2. 027.16 Konawaena (3-0): Handily defeated Waiakea. Hilo next.
↓3. 024.86 KS-Hawaii (3-1): Stopped by Kealakehe. Waiakea next.
↓4. 015.42 Lahainaluna (1-3): Lost third game in a row, second straight at home, this time against Baldwin. Maui next.
-5. 010.28 Damien (3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-6. 007.19 Pac-Five (2-0): DNP. Bye next.
-7. 007.09 Pearl City (1-1): DNP. Anuenue next.
↑8. 178.05 Radford (3-0): Rams were unstoppable against Kalani. Kaimuki next.
↑9. 052.79 Roosevelt (2-2): Ruins Waialua's perfect season in double overtime. Kalani next.
↑10. 046.24 St. Francis (2-2): Tough loss to California Murrieta Mesa. Bye next.
- MID-CARD
↓11. 006.48 Nanakuli (2-1): Beat Kaimuki. Waialua next.
-12. 024.38 Waimea (2-1): DNP. Kauai next.
-13. 05.52 Waialua (3-1): Lost to Roosevelt in shocking double overtime. Nanakuli next.
↑14. 003.03 Honoka'a (1-1): Ran away from Keaau. Kealakehe next.
-15. 002.72 KS-Maui (2-1): Beat King Kekaulike. Baldwin next.
↓16. 002.71 Kalani (1-3): Shutdown by Radford. #9 Roosevelt next.
↓17. 000.56 Kauai (0-3): Dismantled by Kapaa. Waimea next.
-18. 000.33 Hawaii Prep (0-2): Outgunned by Hilo. Keaau next.
-19. 000.34 Kalaheo (1-3): DNP.
-20. 000.14 King Kekaulike (0-3): Lost to KS-Maui. Bye next.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.11 Kaimuki (1-2): Lost big to Nanakuli.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-4): DNP.
OIA Red Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+2 Kahuku
+2 Waianae
+1 Castle
+0 Waipahu
--------------------------------
-1 Leilehua
-1 McKinley
-1 Kaiser
OIA Blue Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 1
+2 Mililani
+2 Kailua
+1 Farrington
+0 Moanalua
+0 Aiea
--------------------------------
-1 Kapolei
-1 Campbell
OIA White Play-Off Race
Wins Needed to Enter Qualification: 2
+1 Radford
+0 Nanakuli
+0 Waialua
-1 Pearl City
--------------------------------
-1 Kaimuki
-1 Roosevelt
-1 Kalaheo
-1 Kalani
-2 Anuenue
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
This ranking is from last week. I'll update the rankings for this week tomorrow or Wednesday.
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 085.73 Punahou: (3-0): From behind rally to defeat California Del Oro. #8 Iolani next.
-2. 245.66 Kahuku (4-0): DNP. Castle next.
-3. 045.97 Farrington (4-0): Squeeked by Aiea. #9 Kailua next.
-4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (3-0): DNP. #4 St. Louis next.
-5. 045.19 St. Louis (2-0): DNP. #3 KS-Kapalama next.
-6. 020.21 Mililani (3-1): Punched in the gut by Nevada Liberty. Aiea next.
-7. 009.66 Moanalua (2-3): Fell to Kapolei. Bye next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (2-1): DNP. #1 Punahou next.
-9. 017.31 Kailua (5-0): Defeated Campbell. #3 Farrington next.
-10. 013.18 Waianae (4-1): Demolished McKinley. Bye next.
- MID-CARD
↑11. 007.74 Kealakehe (2-2): Remains undefeated in the BIIF. Hawaii Prep next.
-12. 006.33 Kapolei (2-3): Hurricane fireworks defeat #7 Moanalua. Campbell next.
↑13. 005.89 Maui (2-1): Handily defeated Lahainaluna. Baldwin next.
-14. 005.13 Kaiser (1-3): Punished Waipahu. McKinley next.
↑15. 003.48 Leilehua (1-3): Held off Castle. Waipahu next.
↓16. 003.48 Castle (2-3): Mistakes cost the Knights vs. Leileua. #2 Kahuku.
↓17. 003.20 Waipahu (1-3): Pounded by Kaiser. Leilehua next.
↑18. 002.42 Baldwin (2-2): Beat KS-Maui. Maui next.
↓19. 002.11 Aiea (1-4): Aiea's comeback shutdown by Farrington's line. #6 Mililani next.
-20. 001.16 Campbell (0-4): Remains winless vs. Kailua. Kapolei next.
- EMERGING
↓21. 000.74 Waiakea (0-5): Played it close against KS-Hawaii. Honokaa next.
-22. 000.54 Hilo (1-3): Lost to Konawaena. KS-Hawaii next.
-23. 000.17 Keaau (0-2): Lost to Hawaii Prep. Konawaena (Saturday) next.
-24. 000.05 McKinley (0-5): The torture continues. Kaiser next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
-1. 034.88 Kapaa (3-0): DNP. Waimea next.
-2. 028.71 Konawaena (4-0): Won a close one vs. Hilo. Keaau next.
-3. 024.10 KS-Hawaii (3-1): Beat Waiakea. Hilo next.
-4. 008.27 Lahainaluna (1-4): Luna's are on a 4-game losing streak. King Kekaulike next.
-5. 010.28 Damien (3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-6. 007.19 Pac-Five (2-0): DNP. #10 St. Francis next.
-7. 007.09 Pearl City (2-1): DNP. Kaimuki next.
-8. 149.03 Radford (4-0): Ran over Kaimuki. Washington Mt. Tahoma next.
-9. 026.67 Roosevelt (2-3): Couldn't spoil Kalani's homecoming. Nanakuli next.
↑10. 046.24 St. Francis (2-2): DNP. #6 Pac-Five next.
- MID-CARD
↑11. 024.38 Waimea (3-1): Blanked Kauai. Kapaa next.
↑12. 009.52 Kalani (3-3): Blew up Roosevelt. Anuenue next.
↓13. 006.48 Nanakuli (3-1): Rolled over Waialua. #9 Roosevelt next.
↓14. 03.89 Waialua (3-2): Crushed by Nanakuli. Kalaheo next.
↑15. 003.17 Hawaii Prep (1-2): Handily beat Keaau. Kealakehe next.
↓16. 002.24 Honoka'a (1-3): Beat by Kealakehe. Bye next.
-17. 001.78 Kauai (0-4): Blanked by Waimea. Kapaa next.
↓18. 001.12 KS-Maui (2-2): Lost to Baldwin. Bye next.
-19. 000.34 Kalaheo (1-3): DNP.
-20. 000.14 King Kekaulike (0-3): DNP.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.73 Kaimuki (1-3): Dismantled by Radford.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-5): DNP.
Division I
- TOP TEN
-1: 085.73 Punahou: (3-0): From behind rally to defeat California Del Oro. #8 Iolani next.
-2. 245.66 Kahuku (4-0): DNP. Castle next.
-3. 045.97 Farrington (4-0): Squeeked by Aiea. #9 Kailua next.
-4. 072.07 KS-Kapalama (3-0): DNP. #4 St. Louis next.
-5. 045.19 St. Louis (2-0): DNP. #3 KS-Kapalama next.
-6. 020.21 Mililani (3-1): Punched in the gut by Nevada Liberty. Aiea next.
-7. 009.66 Moanalua (2-3): Fell to Kapolei. Bye next.
-8. 020.17 Iolani (2-1): DNP. #1 Punahou next.
-9. 017.31 Kailua (5-0): Defeated Campbell. #3 Farrington next.
-10. 013.18 Waianae (4-1): Demolished McKinley. Bye next.
- MID-CARD
↑11. 007.74 Kealakehe (2-2): Remains undefeated in the BIIF. Hawaii Prep next.
-12. 006.33 Kapolei (2-3): Hurricane fireworks defeat #7 Moanalua. Campbell next.
↑13. 005.89 Maui (2-1): Handily defeated Lahainaluna. Baldwin next.
-14. 005.13 Kaiser (1-3): Punished Waipahu. McKinley next.
↑15. 003.48 Leilehua (1-3): Held off Castle. Waipahu next.
↓16. 003.48 Castle (2-3): Mistakes cost the Knights vs. Leileua. #2 Kahuku.
↓17. 003.20 Waipahu (1-3): Pounded by Kaiser. Leilehua next.
↑18. 002.42 Baldwin (2-2): Beat KS-Maui. Maui next.
↓19. 002.11 Aiea (1-4): Aiea's comeback shutdown by Farrington's line. #6 Mililani next.
-20. 001.16 Campbell (0-4): Remains winless vs. Kailua. Kapolei next.
- EMERGING
↓21. 000.74 Waiakea (0-5): Played it close against KS-Hawaii. Honokaa next.
-22. 000.54 Hilo (1-3): Lost to Konawaena. KS-Hawaii next.
-23. 000.17 Keaau (0-2): Lost to Hawaii Prep. Konawaena (Saturday) next.
-24. 000.05 McKinley (0-5): The torture continues. Kaiser next.
Division II
- TOP TEN
-1. 034.88 Kapaa (3-0): DNP. Waimea next.
-2. 028.71 Konawaena (4-0): Won a close one vs. Hilo. Keaau next.
-3. 024.10 KS-Hawaii (3-1): Beat Waiakea. Hilo next.
-4. 008.27 Lahainaluna (1-4): Luna's are on a 4-game losing streak. King Kekaulike next.
-5. 010.28 Damien (3-0): DNP. Bye next.
-6. 007.19 Pac-Five (2-0): DNP. #10 St. Francis next.
-7. 007.09 Pearl City (2-1): DNP. Kaimuki next.
-8. 149.03 Radford (4-0): Ran over Kaimuki. Washington Mt. Tahoma next.
-9. 026.67 Roosevelt (2-3): Couldn't spoil Kalani's homecoming. Nanakuli next.
↑10. 046.24 St. Francis (2-2): DNP. #6 Pac-Five next.
- MID-CARD
↑11. 024.38 Waimea (3-1): Blanked Kauai. Kapaa next.
↑12. 009.52 Kalani (3-3): Blew up Roosevelt. Anuenue next.
↓13. 006.48 Nanakuli (3-1): Rolled over Waialua. #9 Roosevelt next.
↓14. 03.89 Waialua (3-2): Crushed by Nanakuli. Kalaheo next.
↑15. 003.17 Hawaii Prep (1-2): Handily beat Keaau. Kealakehe next.
↓16. 002.24 Honoka'a (1-3): Beat by Kealakehe. Bye next.
-17. 001.78 Kauai (0-4): Blanked by Waimea. Kapaa next.
↓18. 001.12 KS-Maui (2-2): Lost to Baldwin. Bye next.
-19. 000.34 Kalaheo (1-3): DNP.
-20. 000.14 King Kekaulike (0-3): DNP.
- EMERGING
-21. 000.73 Kaimuki (1-3): Dismantled by Radford.
-22. 000.00 Anuenue (0-5): DNP.
- politclyincrekt
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Re: Politclyincrekt's 2015 Football Rankings & Predictions
Just some house keeping so I can continue for next year. These are scores that will carry over to the next season. Just posting it here for safe keeping.
Division I
110.94 Kahuku
61.26 St. Louis
59.30 Mililani
42.25 KS-Kapalama
40.80 Punahou
30.07 Waianae
28.39 Kailua
24.03 Baldwin
23.44 Moanalua
22.81 Farrington
21.03 Kaiser
20.80 Hilo
20.71 Kapolei
13.88 Kealakehe
10.92 Maui
02.67 Iolani
02.31 Leilehua
01.00 Castle
00.39 Aiea (will reset to 0 if relegated)
00.21 Campbell
09.22 Waiakea
16.65 Waipahu (will reset to 0 if relegated)
34.95 Keaau
46.04 McKinley (will reset to 0 if relegated)
Division II
116.00 Radford (will reset to 0 if promoted)
57.09 Kapaa
51.37 Konawaena
45.84 KS-Hawaii
28.94 Nanakuli (will reset to 0 if promoted)
24.56 Damien
20.28 St. Francis
14.91 Kalani
12.47 Kaimuki
12.22 Lahainaluna
12.19 Pac-Five
08.09 Waialua
01.67 Pearl City
00.53 KS-Maui
00.67 Kalaheo
03.93 Roosevelt
09.21 Kauai
10.04 Waimea
11.78 Hawaii Prep
15.13 Honokaa
18.00 Anuenue
23.61 King Kekaulike
[Negative scores appear in red]
Division I
110.94 Kahuku
61.26 St. Louis
59.30 Mililani
42.25 KS-Kapalama
40.80 Punahou
30.07 Waianae
28.39 Kailua
24.03 Baldwin
23.44 Moanalua
22.81 Farrington
21.03 Kaiser
20.80 Hilo
20.71 Kapolei
13.88 Kealakehe
10.92 Maui
02.67 Iolani
02.31 Leilehua
01.00 Castle
00.39 Aiea (will reset to 0 if relegated)
00.21 Campbell
09.22 Waiakea
16.65 Waipahu (will reset to 0 if relegated)
34.95 Keaau
46.04 McKinley (will reset to 0 if relegated)
Division II
116.00 Radford (will reset to 0 if promoted)
57.09 Kapaa
51.37 Konawaena
45.84 KS-Hawaii
28.94 Nanakuli (will reset to 0 if promoted)
24.56 Damien
20.28 St. Francis
14.91 Kalani
12.47 Kaimuki
12.22 Lahainaluna
12.19 Pac-Five
08.09 Waialua
01.67 Pearl City
00.53 KS-Maui
00.67 Kalaheo
03.93 Roosevelt
09.21 Kauai
10.04 Waimea
11.78 Hawaii Prep
15.13 Honokaa
18.00 Anuenue
23.61 King Kekaulike
[Negative scores appear in red]