Re: 2010 Cross Country
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 8:17 pm
Let me try to explain some surprises.
Mid-Pac:
Iolani was traveling and several teams sat runners. Notably most MPI boys and Punahou girls.
CORP:
Ryan Hobson ran the course at what I would guess is tempo pace for him. He came through the first mile in almost exactly six minutes and maintained his pace. I think he deserves his number 4 ranking on 808's list.
The course was adjusted to run up grass as opposed to dirt on the course's major hill. This produced a longer course, from what I know about 100-150m long. From what I know, the course was revised again and is now "only" 55m long. Expect slower times.
Charles Akiona of Kamehameha is a much faster runner than many give him credit for. Check the times and notice he has been consistently one of the top runners in the ILH. He also has not lost to Scharer, Yamane, and Ryan this season (all of whom are ranked by 808 higher). Additionally, he hasn't lost to Cuadrado since Iolani invite, beating him at Kaiser and Punahou invites. He was 4th at Punahou, 2nd at Mid-Pac, and 2nd at CORP. While he isn't anywhere near Thibodeau, he deserves at least a top 10 ranking. I would have him at 6 at the moment.
Additionally, Colton Sisler of Saint Louis has also been a solid runner this year. He has been in the top 6 in the ILH in every meet since Kaiser. While perhaps his front-running style will hurt him at the bigger meets, he should be considered in the top 20. I would have him between 10-15 at this moment.
Finally, I have heard rumors that Borys Pleskacz is injured. Is anyone aware of the nature of the injury and its severity? If it is so severe that he will miss states, I feel it removes Iolani from state title contention. He is an essential part to the Iolani team's success.
Punahou girls look dominant. While their pack will certainly be broken up at states, they are the undeniable favorite in my mind.
I will post my thoughts on states after all the champs results come out. Hopefully I can replicate my guessing success from last year! (check the old forum if you are curious).
Good luck to all runners this weekend.
Mid-Pac:
Iolani was traveling and several teams sat runners. Notably most MPI boys and Punahou girls.
CORP:
Ryan Hobson ran the course at what I would guess is tempo pace for him. He came through the first mile in almost exactly six minutes and maintained his pace. I think he deserves his number 4 ranking on 808's list.
The course was adjusted to run up grass as opposed to dirt on the course's major hill. This produced a longer course, from what I know about 100-150m long. From what I know, the course was revised again and is now "only" 55m long. Expect slower times.
Charles Akiona of Kamehameha is a much faster runner than many give him credit for. Check the times and notice he has been consistently one of the top runners in the ILH. He also has not lost to Scharer, Yamane, and Ryan this season (all of whom are ranked by 808 higher). Additionally, he hasn't lost to Cuadrado since Iolani invite, beating him at Kaiser and Punahou invites. He was 4th at Punahou, 2nd at Mid-Pac, and 2nd at CORP. While he isn't anywhere near Thibodeau, he deserves at least a top 10 ranking. I would have him at 6 at the moment.
Additionally, Colton Sisler of Saint Louis has also been a solid runner this year. He has been in the top 6 in the ILH in every meet since Kaiser. While perhaps his front-running style will hurt him at the bigger meets, he should be considered in the top 20. I would have him between 10-15 at this moment.
Finally, I have heard rumors that Borys Pleskacz is injured. Is anyone aware of the nature of the injury and its severity? If it is so severe that he will miss states, I feel it removes Iolani from state title contention. He is an essential part to the Iolani team's success.
Punahou girls look dominant. While their pack will certainly be broken up at states, they are the undeniable favorite in my mind.
I will post my thoughts on states after all the champs results come out. Hopefully I can replicate my guessing success from last year! (check the old forum if you are curious).
Good luck to all runners this weekend.